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| Joe Biden (Courtesy: Joshua Michael Mlinek) |
Amid increasing whispers in Washington, there is growing speculation that President Joe Biden might withdraw from the 2024 presidential race. Several factors are fueling these discussions, ranging from his age and health to polling numbers and internal party dynamics.
Age and Health Concerns
At 81, Biden would be the oldest president to be inaugurated for a second term if he wins in 2024. Concerns about his age and health have been persistent, with some suggesting that these factors could hinder his campaign and ability to serve another full term. According to a report by the Jerusalem Post, JP Morgan’s top strategist included Biden’s withdrawal from the race as one of the top surprises for 2024, citing health reasons as the primary cause.
Polling Numbers and Public Opinion
Biden’s approval ratings have been relatively low compared to his predecessors. A survey conducted by USA Today indicated that only 38% of Americans approve of Biden’s performance, the lowest for any president at this point in their term in recent history. This dissatisfaction is partly due to economic concerns, despite notable job growth during his administration.
Internal Party Dynamics
There is also internal pressure within the Democratic Party. Some party members are quietly preparing for the possibility that Biden might step aside, and there is ongoing speculation about potential replacement candidates. The possibility of Biden passing the torch to a new candidate could energize the Democratic base and offer a fresh perspective to voters who are hesitant about another Biden term.
Strategic Considerations
Strategically, some Democrats believe that a different candidate could have a better chance against the likely Republican nominee, Donald Trump. Polls show a tight race between Biden and Trump, raising concerns about Biden's electability. A different Democratic candidate could potentially attract broader support and present a stronger challenge.
The "LBJ Moment"
Political analysts have compared the current situation to Lyndon B. Johnson’s decision not to seek re-election in 1968, often referred to as an “LBJ moment.” This comparison highlights the potential for Biden to make a similar decision if he feels that stepping aside would benefit the party and the country. Such a move would not be unprecedented, though it would be significant given the modern political landscape.
Potential Successors
Speculation about Biden's potential successors include several prominent Democrats. Vice President Kamala Harris, who has been a key figure in the administration, is often mentioned as a likely candidate. Other names include California Governor Gavin Newsom, Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer, and Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg. Each of these figures brings different strengths and appeal to various segments of the Democratic electorate.
Public and Party Reactions
Reactions within the Democratic Party to the possibility of Biden stepping aside are mixed. Some see it as a necessary step to ensure victory in 2024, while others remain confident in Biden’s leadership and ability to secure a second term. Public opinion is similarly divided, with some voters expressing a desire for new leadership and others showing steadfast support for Biden.
As the 2024 election approaches, the question of whether Joe Biden will continue his campaign for a second term remains open. His age, health, polling numbers, and internal party dynamics are all critical factors that will influence his decision. Whether he stays in the race or decides to pass the torch, the impact on the Democratic Party and the election as a whole will be profound.
